After much coding, debugging, several headaches, and far too much data entry, the first ever NDtex25 is ready.
For those that are confused or need a refresher on my crazy attempt at a formula, I suggest you check out my post on the matter. There is one addition though from that post: I have added tie breakers. If two or more teams happen to have the same score after everything is said and done, tie breakers will be done according to the following rankings: W/L points, ANTY, and then Avg TO Margin.
If teams are still tied by then, hurray alphabetical order!
Anyways, as expected, week 1 did have some rather hilarious outcomes, but for the most part, it isn’t too outrageous. If you remember, this week is a little strange since I had to do an “initial ranking” based solely on ANTY and Avg TO Margin which created some of the insanity that you will see below. I would assume that if I came up with a preseason rating, things would be a little more balanced out, but overall, I’m happy with the results and some rather big name teams do make an appearance.
So without further ado, here are the NDtex25 for week 1:
Just missing the cut: Boise State, Cal, Ohio, Syracuse, Alabama.
Your leader in the clubhouse is Mississippi State with the MAC powerhouse that is Bowling Green nibbling oh so close behind.
Other crazy notables in this initial ranking are Auburn despite damn near falling on their face. Michigan somehow manages to squeeze their way in despite not playing a full game. Even though Kentucky played something that really didn’t resemble football, they appear as well.
Stanford and Oklahoma though grab a rather expected high ranking, with Texas rounding out the top 25 to my surprise. Texas A&M has also held on to their preseason hype by finding themselves in the top 10 as well. LSU probably wins for most hosed after beating Oregon soundly.
The worst team in the nation? Congrats to San Jose State, who managed to mimick Terrelle Pryor’s wonderlic score of 7, creates plenty of distance between them and team number 119: Akron (final score: 14.5).
Where does ND fall in this ranking? Well, despite the 5th best ANTY in the nation, the worst Avg TO Margin and an awful loss smacked the Irish down to 49. You will find such powerhouses like FIU, Louisiana Tech, North Texas, and Kent State above them.
Four of ND’s future opponents, Stanford, Maryland, Pittsburgh and Michigan are in the top 25. The rest of ND’s opponents rank as follows:
- Michigan State – 81
- Purdue – 40
- Air Force – 66
- USC – 32
- Navy – 82
- Wake Forest – 55
- Boston College – 47
Like I said, overall, I’m pleased with the results. I do expect things to move around quite a bit once the wins and losses start piling up and some of the “big wins” end up being laughable before it’s all said and done. The main goal of the rankings worked fairly well though: teams that won rose well above teams that didn’t for the most part. For those teams that played FCS games, they got punished worse than I thought. Sparty and Navy for instance are ranked over 80, landing only above teams that got absolutely destroyed last week. I guess that punishment is working quite well so far.
I can’t wait to see next week’s results. Remember, the W/L opponent rank will be determined by the previous week so we will likely have some more hilarity as teams with some clearly lopsided rankings benefit their opponents should they beat them.